國家統計局日前發布的數據顯示，4月份全國居民消費價格指數同比上漲2.1%，創下五個月來的最大漲幅。專家和分析人士指出，未來幾個月物價可能還將繼續走高，但是我國今年通貨膨脹整體將保持溫和可控的水平。
China's inflation is expected to remain mild and controllable this year, leaving room for macro policy fine-tuning and adjustment, experts and analysts said on Wednesday.
專家和分析人士5月11日表示，我國今年通貨膨脹將保持溫和可控的水平，為宏觀政策調整提供了操作空間。
They warned of multiple pressures from shrinking demand, supply shocks and weakening expectations amid resurgent domestic COVID-19 cases, as well as a more complicated and grimmer external environment, and said a stronger macro policy response was likely in order to stabilize expectations and shore up growth.
專家和分析人士警告稱，當前國內新冠疫情反復，國外環境更加復雜嚴峻，國內經濟發展面臨“需求收縮、供給沖擊、預期轉弱”三重壓力，并指出政府為了穩定預期和支撐經濟增長可能會出臺更有力的宏觀政策。
The country's consumer price index, a main gauge of inflation, rose 2.1 percent year-on-year in April amid rising prices of fresh vegetables, fresh fruit and diesel fuel, marking the fastest pace in five months, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.
5月11日，國家統計局發布的數據顯示，4月份，全國居民消費價格指數同比上漲2.1%，創下五個月來的最大漲幅，鮮菜、鮮果、柴油價格均有所上漲。消費價格指數是衡量通貨膨脹水平的重要指標。
Meanwhile, the country's factory-gate prices rose in April at the slowest rate in a year as the government took steady steps to ensure stable supplies and prices amid international commodity price hikes. China's producer price index, which gauges factory-gate prices, increased 8 percent year-on-year in April, the NBS said.
與此同時，盡管國際大宗商品價格高位運行，但政府堅決貫徹落實保供穩價決策部署，因此出廠價格漲幅回落至今年最低水平。國家統計局數據顯示，全國工業生產者出廠價格指數同比上漲8.0%。
Wen Bin, chief researcher at China Minsheng Bank, said China's overall inflation level is mild and controllable. Wen said he expected policymakers to increase monetary policy support for hard-hit enterprises and sectors amid COVID-19 outbreaks, which will help ease enterprises' burden and promote economic growth to a reasonable range.
中國民生銀行首席研究員溫彬表示，中國通脹整體處于溫和可控水平。溫彬預期貨幣政策將持續加大對受疫情影響嚴重行業企業的支持力度，助企紓困，促進經濟運行在合理區間。
Wen attributed the growth in consumer inflation to food and energy, warning of inflation pressure amid rising international commodity prices. He said more efforts are needed to ensure stable supplies and prices and ensure smooth logistics.
溫彬將消費價格指數上漲歸因于食品和能源價格的上漲，并指出要警惕國際商品價格上漲引起的輸入性通脹壓力。溫彬表示，要加大保供穩價力度，確保物流暢通。
Zhou Maohua, an analyst at China Everbright Bank, said that while the slower increase of the producer price index will help ease pressures on costs for some midstream and downstream manufacturing enterprises, the 8 percent increase in the PPI suggests that raw material prices remain high.
光大銀行研究員周茂華指出，4月份出廠價格指數同比趨緩，表明部分中下游制造業商品材料成本壓力有所緩解，但同比仍維持8.0%的高增速，可見商品原材料價格仍處于高位運行。
"Many midstream and downstream manufacturing enterprises still face pressure from high production costs," he said.
他說：“許多中下游制造業企業生產投入成本壓力尚存。”
Looking ahead, Zhou estimated that China's consumer inflation may continue the uptrend seen in the last month but will remain mild overall.
展望后期走勢，周茂華預計，年內消費價格指數同比仍有一定上升空間，但消費者物價動能保持溫和。
He said the uptrend may continue in the following months, given the resurgent domestic COVID-19 cases, fluctuation of energy prices, a recovery in pork prices and a low comparison base.
周茂華表示，考慮到本土疫情反復、能源價格波動、豬肉價格觸底回升和低基數效應，未來幾個月物價可能還將繼續走高。
However, overall, China's inflation will remain mild given the government's solid moves to control the epidemic, increase the support for enterprises, ensure stable supplies and prices, stabilize industrial and supply chains and ensure smooth logistics, Zhou added.
但是，周茂華稱，由于政府嚴控疫情，企業紓困、保供穩價政策落地，產業鏈供應鏈、物流鏈暢通，我國通脹將整體保持溫和水平。
英文來源：中國日報
翻譯&編輯：丹妮
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